The2025 Golden Globesceremony is days away, which means its time to predict the winners in every movie category. The Golden Globes voting body revealed its nominations across all TV and movie categories in December 2024.Emilia Pérezled the way with 10 nominations, whileThe BrutalistandConclavewere the other two most nominated films. Although theimpact of Golden Globes nominations on the Oscarsvaries from year to year, it still holds a significant spot in the awards season schedule. The 2025 Golden Globes ceremony on August 23, 2025, marks the kick-off of a busy time.
Each nominated film is hoping to win big at the Golden Globes to bolster their Oscar chances ahead of the Academy Awards revealing its complete list of nominees later this month. With the Golden Globes rebranding and adjusting its methods in recent years,what the Golden Globes mean for the Oscarswill become more clear after the winners are announced on Sunday. There are only two weeks left before Academy members must finalize their nomination ballots. And with 15 movie categories up for grabs at the Golden Globes, here are our predicted winners in each.
15Best Motion Picture - Drama
Predicted Winner: The Brutalist
Best Motion Picture - Drama is a strong category for the 2025 Golden Globes, but I believeThe Brutalistwill be the winner. Voters for the Globes clearly have a strong affinity for the film with its seven nominations across all categories, so it would make sense for it to be the ultimate winner here. Brady Corbet’s epic has the critical backing and is gaining traction in awards season after its theatrical release tofollow inOppenheimer’s footsteps to be another 3-hour epic to win Best Motion Picture - Dramaat the Golden Globes.
Nickel Boys
September 5
If anything is going to beatThe Brutalisthere, it would probably beConclave.A Complete Unknowncould pull a surprise upset, too. However, I’m betting on the former’s rise and the grand, star-studded appeal that the Globes typically appreciates. Sadly, it seems as thoughDune: Part Two,September 5, andNickel Boysare not quite in contention to actually win. This would be a major boost toThe Brutalist’s Oscars chances then.
14Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Predicted Winner: Emilia Pérez
Emilia Pérezis positioned as the favorite film of the Golden Globes voting body, so it winning in Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy is the safe - and probably obvious - choice. This would be a significant moment for the Netflix-distributed musical, as it would beat out several other movies thought to be in better position towin Best Picture Oscars 2025.
Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy Nominees
The Substance
Wicked
There are seemingly two major threats toEmilia Pérezwhen it comes to winning Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy:AnoraandWicked. AlthoughChallengers,A Real Pain, andThe Substancehave support elsewhere at the Globes,AnoraandWickedare titles that voters are more likely to favor. Since both of those movies have been thought of at different times as potential Best Picture frontrunners,the Golden Globes is the time forEmilia Pérezto get some recognitionand continue building its growing resume.
13Best Performance By A Male Actor In A Motion Picture - Drama
Predicted Winner: Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
Timothée Chalamet is my predicted winner for the Golden Globes' category for Best Performance By A Male Actor In A Motion Picture - Drama.A Complete Unknown’s end-of-year release strategy seems to have worked, with his transformative performance as Bob Dylan garnering great praise. This ishis fourth nomination by the Globes, and after missing out on winning the previous three, this should be the time that Chalamet becomes a Golden Globes winner.
Ralph Fiennes (Conclave)
Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)
This is the category this is arguably the closest to what the2025 Oscars Best Actor nominationswill look like, so Chalamet winning here would be huge. Adrien Brody and Ralph Fiennes could still pull off the victory and help benefit their campaigns to win the Academy Award.Chalamet’s buzzy portrayal of a music icon is arguably the film’s best chance to gain recognitionat the Globes and throughout awards season.
12Best Performance By A Female Actor In A Motion Picture - Drama
Predicted Winner: Angelina Jolie (Marie)
The Golden Globes 2025 nominees for Best Performance By A Female Actor In A Motion Picture - Drama brings great uncertainty with predicting the winner. This is becauseall but one of the nominees are not tied to movies that have any other significant nominations. That really leaves the category up in the air, leaving voters to recognize a film that otherwise will not really be featured. As a result, I believe Angelina Jolie will be the Golden Globes' winner for Best Actress.
Angelina Jolie (Maria) - Predicted winner
Pamela Anderson (The Last Showgirl)
Tilda Swinton (The Room Next Door)
Angelina Jolie is the biggest star among the group, and a three time Golden Globes winner already. There’s certainly a world where Kidman takes the win instead, as could Fernanda Torres givenI’m Still Herealso has a Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language nomination. But with Jolie’s strong history with the Globes - including thatThe Touristnomination in 2011, this is another opportunity for the awards show to recognize her and boost the actress' Oscars case.
11Best Performance By A Male Actor In A Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Predicted Winner: Hugh Grant (Heretic)
The Best Actor category in Musical or Comedy for the Golden Globes is an opportunity to potentially shake up the Oscars race depending on who wins. Sebastian Stan (A Different Man), Hugh Grant (Heretic), and Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain) are on the outside of predicted nominees, but a win in a wide-open Globes category could change that. The same would be true for the other nominees if they had stronger chances of actually winning the Globe.
Best Actor - Musical or Comedy Golden Globes Nominees
Hugh Grant (Heretic) - Predicted winner
Jesse Plemons (Kinds of Kindness)
Sebastian Stan (A Different Man)
A Glen Powell Golden Globes win forHit Manwould be the cherry on top of his excellent 2024 movie slate, but Hugh Grant is predicted winner. He’s been nominated by the Globes seven times now across his career and only has one win so far. Grant benefits here with how the Globes splits categories based on genres and could give him just enough momentum to possibly steal the fifth Best Actor nomination for the 2025 Oscars.
10Best Performance By A Female Actor In A Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Predicted Winner: Mikey Madison (Anora)
Just as the Best Actor - Drama category is quite competitive, the Golden Globes have loaded the Best Performance By A Female Actor In A Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy category. Oscars hopefuls Mikey Madison, Cythina Erivo, Karla Sofía Gascón, and Demi Moore are all in the mix here - as are Zendaya and Amy Adams. However, this category is likely to come down to one of the first four actresses, with cases to be made for each winning.
Best Actress - Musical or Comedy Golden Globes Nominees
Mikey Madison (Anora) - Predicted winner
Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez)
Zendaya (Challengers)
Demi Moore is pushing hard for an Oscar nomination, andThe Substance’s overperformance with Golden Globes nominations could be a great signthat she’ll actually win this category. Cynthia Erivo’s Elphaba performance has only become more popular asWicked’s fans have increased, while Gascón’s historic nomination and connection to the most nominated film by the Globes is significant. Still, Neon’s campaign for Mikey Madison andAnorashould help her bring the film some recognition at the 2025 Golden Globes.
9Best Performance By A Male Actor In A Supporting Role In Any Motion Picture
Predicted Winner: Denzel Washington (Gladiator II)
Denzel Washington was thought to have practically any and all Best Supporting Actor award race tied up even beforeGladiator II’s release, but the reality is that his stronghold on the category has slipped.Kieran Culkin is rising steadilyand might ultimately be the frontrunner for the Academy Award. Guy Pearce and Edward Norton are also starting to gain more recognition - but I’m still going to predict that Denzel will win this category at the Golden Globes.
Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
Yura Borisov (Anora)
Denzel is an 11-time Golden Globes nominee for his acting performances, but he hasn’t won in over two decades. Withthe legendary actor continuing to hint at his looming retirement, the narrative that there aren’t many more opportunities to recognize his work could help his case. Whether he can stay in pole position for an Oscar remains to be seen, but the flashy, scene-stealing work he does inGladiator IIis worth recognizing in this fashion.
8Best Performance By A Female Actor In A Supporting Role In Any Motion Picture
Predicted Winner: Ariana Grande (Wicked)
Ariana Grande’s Glinda performance sure is popular this awards season, and with her moving up Oscars prediction lists, she’s now my predicted winner for Best Supporting Actress at the Golden Globes.Wickedis quite clearly loved by voters with its four nominations. Grande managed to make Glinda her own and remain similar enough to the character audiences know fromThe Wizard of Ozand the Broadway musical. The full range of musical and acting abilities on display is exactly what the Globes can recognize here.
Ariana Grande (Wicked) - Predicted winner
Selena Gomez (Emilia Pérez)
Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)
This is certainly not Grande’s category to lose, asZoe Saldaña and Selena Gomez are both riding theEmilia Pérezpush towards hopeful victories. But with the two co-stars pitted against each other in the same category, that could once again benefit Grande. If Qualley, Rossellini, or Jones win,predictions for the 2025 Oscars in all categorieswill shift drastically.
7Best Director - Motion Picture
Predicted Winner: Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
After already predicting thatThe Brutalistwill win Best Motion Picture - Drama, I also think the film is set to take home another major victory as Brady Corbet is recognized in Best Director.The Golden Globes winners for Best Director and Best Motion Picture - Drama have matched for six consecutive years, as the symmetry between the categories has become more linked. Edward Berger (Conclave) is the only other Best Director nominee attached to a Best Motion Picture - Drama nominee, so if it isn’t Corbet who wins, Berger could also continue the trend.
6Best Screenplay - Motion Picture
Predicted Winner: Peter Straughan (Conclave)
Conclaveshould not be shut out of winning at the 2025 Golden Globes, and a Best Screenplay win would be well-deserved. Peter Straughan’s work adapting Robert Harris helped deliver a religious political thriller that is almost entirely based around the Cardinals talking to each other. The conversations and characters are rich throughout, making a Straughan win in this category a significant boost to the film’s Oscars standing. If theEmilia Pérezlove is real, a win here could happen instead.
Peter Straughan (Conclave) - Predicted winner
