In the lead up to the 2025 Oscars, several films, including Sean Baker’sAnora, are tough competitors in multiple categories, making it difficult to predict exactly how the race will go. Theannouncement of the 2025 Oscars nominees, sawAnoragain six nominations, with three in the major categories of Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Actress. Additionally,Anorahad gained momentum from nominations at previous ceremonies and with precursor wins, putting Mikey Madison in a good place to take home the award.

Anorafollows the sex worker Ani as she decides to marry Vanya, the son of a Russian oligarch. Vanya’s family’s power and money create complications as they put pressure on their son and Ani to annul the marriage, leading to Ani finally breaking down inAnora’s ending. The film’s nominations are entirely fitting given Mikey Madison’s phenomenal performance, but Madison still faces tough competition in the category, especially fromDemi Moore, who is the current Best Actress frontrunner.

Mikey Madison in Anora and Oscars statues

Demi Moore Has Stolen Mikey Madison’s Frontrunner Spot During Awards Season

Moore Took Home The Golden Globe

Before the major awards ceremonies for 2024’s films occurred,Mikey Madison initially seemed like the most likely winner for Best Actress, but her chances have gotten complicated along the way.Anorastarted off strong by winning the Palme d’Or at Cannes and gaining wins and nominations from many of the major critics' circles across the US.Mikey Madison then received nominations from both the Critics' Choice Awards and the Golden Globesbut was beaten in both instances by Demi Moore.

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While many early Oscars predictions did not include Demi Moore being nominated for Best Actress, over the course of a few short months, Moore has become the frontrunner to win the Oscar. Demi Moore’s wins at the Critics Choice Awards and, crucially, the Golden Globes have positioned her better than ever to take home the Oscar. While Demi Moore has been a household name for decades due to her work in the 1990s,The Substancehas revitalized Moore’s career and proven that she continues to be an unbeatable talent.

Anora Official Poster

Anora’s Increasing Best Picture Odds Could Give Mikey Madison An Edge Over Demi Moore Again

Anora Will Certainly Be On Voters' Minds

Though both actors gave unquestionably great performances in their respective films, only one can win the Best Actress Oscar. While Demi Moore’s recent awards show wins have positioned her well going into the Academy Awards, MIkey Madison also has a competitive chance of winning thanks toAnora’s growing Best Picture odds. The2025 Oscars have been surrounded by several controversiesthat have influenced viewers' understanding of the Best Picture race, leavingAnoraseeming like it might be the best choice for voters.

SinceAnorais looking more and more like a Best Picture winner, it could make sense for Oscars voters to vote for Mikey Madison in the Best Actress category as well.

While controversies have plaguedEmilia PérezandThe Brutalist,Anorawon Best Picture at the Critics' Choice Awards and important categories at both the PGA and DGA Awards ceremonies as well. SinceAnorais looking more and more like a Best Picture winner, it could make sense for Oscars voters to vote for Mikey Madison in the Best Actress category as well. Though things could still change in the final month before the 2025 Oscars, Mikey Madison andAnoracurrently look to have strong chances to win several categories.