Captain America: Brave New World’s box office projections are looking healthy, suggesting theMarvel Cinematic Universemovie will thrive early on. After receiving the shield from Steve Rogers inAvengers: Endgameand becoming Captain America inThe Falcon and the Winter Soldier, Anthony Mackie’s Sam Wilson is the star ofCaptain America: Brave New World’s story. With the film’s trailers focusing on Sam’s Captain America in action and Harrison Ford’s Red Hulk, it seems like audiences are ready to show up for the first of theMCU’s 2025 movies, as box office projections reveal.
According to a new report fromDeadline,Captain America: Brave New Worldis projected to open with $94 million over the Valentine’s Day four-day weekend domestically. The MCU movie is expected to have a $190 million global opening, including China. The number would allow Anthony Mackie’s first movie as Captain America to recoup its $180 million budget in a handful of days.
However, it would take more than that for the MCU film to be profitable, as movies need to make twice their budgets to account for marketing costs. As such,Captain America: Brave New World’s casthas to carry the movie to at least $360 million worldwide.
What Captain America: Brave New World’s Box Office Projection Means
The MCU Movie Is On A Good Path To Being Profitable
IfCaptain America: Brave New Worldmakes good on projections or even surpasses them, the MCU movie will be halfway through on the path to becoming profitable. Marvel Studios is not looking at the project as a $1 billion film like Chris Evans' latest Captain America entry, 2016’sCivil War. Mackie’sCaptain America: Brave New Worlddoes not need those numbers to be a success, asa more moderate finish at $400-$600 millionis very much possible and could lead to hundreds of millions in profit for the studio.
Every Sam Wilson MCU Appearance Before Captain America: Brave New World Ranked
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The box office projections show how Mackie’sCaptain America: Brave New Worldcompares to Chris Evans' Captain America films. The 2025 MCU movie’s $80 million three-day domestic opening projection would have itabove Evans' first MCU movie,Captain America: The First Avenger, but below his other two solo entries as Steve Rogers. When it comes to the four-day Valentine’s Day weekend numbers, the projected $94 million would put it more or less in the same range asCaptain America: The Winter Soldier, which went on to gross $714.4 million worldwide.
Our Take On Captain America: Brave New World’s Box Office Projection
Anthony Mackie’s First Movie As Captain America Could Be A Hit
I think thatCaptain America: Brave New World’s box office projections are decent. Sam Wilson has been a supporting player for most of his time in the MCU, so I expected that the film would not perform like those of the major MCU heroes. That said, the projections are pretty respectable, and if the movie delivers, strong legs could carry it and make Sam’s first movie as Captain America a hit. Either way, I think the projected opening is strong enough thatCaptain America: Brave New Worldwill be profitable by the end of its theatrical run.
